Why the stock market’s bubble hasn’t really burst yet

Why the stock market’s bubble hasn’t really burst yet

When markets crash sharply, as they did earlier this year, it can be a mistake to assume that as soon as the falls peter out, the market will then naturally recover. 

Sure, this sometimes happens. The crash of 87, the global financial crisis, and COVID are all examples where the market went into freefall fall once, more or less, before recovering. 

But here’s the thing. Just because the market has sold off and since recovered some, that’s no guarantee the market is in recovery mode. Markets, sectors and individual stocks can go down, stabilise, then go down again.

While picking the bottom might be a mug’s game, you’re not going to go into high gear and invest if you think there’s further broad based losses on the way. 

This is where today’s guest comes in. Dr Philipp Hofflin, Portfolio Manager at Lazard Asset Management, is an expert in market bubbles and what happens after them. And it’s not as cut and dry as you might think.   

In this episode, Phil discusses: 

  • his learnings from Jackson Hole and where we are in the rate cycle;
  • the difference between Australia and the US when it comes to interest rate sensitivity;
  • why some stocks are now attractive while others have further to fall;
  • how he values the energy sector, and 
  • what sectors and stocks are attractively priced.  

Show More

Backward
Play
Forward
1x speed
  • 0.5
  • 1
  • 1.5
  • 2
Other episodes
We’re in ’Tech Wreck 2.0”, and some big names won’t make it

We’re in ’Tech Wreck 2.0”, and some big names won’t make it

The world is opening, but not to calm and stability. 
Rather, COVID has left a trail of destruction. And I'm not talking about the health implications. The pandemic has left economies and markets rattled by supply chain problems, inflation, and rate ...

604 downloads Rules of Investing Aug 19, 2022
43m
A stealthy small cap quietly building a market monopoly

A stealthy small cap quietly building a market monopoly

Investment management can be a brutal business. When you're talking small caps, the brutality is amplified orders of magnitude. 
Between March 20 and September 3 last year, the ASX Small Ordinaries Index sky-rocketed 44.38%. That's the kind of perfor...

561 downloads Rules of Investing Aug 12, 2022
33m
Is a golden era for income investors coming?

Is a golden era for income investors coming?

Fixed income has had a torrid time of it the last year – in fact, by some measures it’s been the worst year on record – with US treasuries losing about a tenth of their value. 
Since the beginning of this year, global bonds have recorded their worst ...

647 downloads Rules of Investing Jul 22, 2022
31m
How Perpetual’s Vince Pezzullo invests when multiples retreat

How Perpetual’s Vince Pezzullo invests when multiples retreat

Markets are a right mess today, thanks to surging inflation and the fear of what that will do to earnings.  
In this environment, you want companies that have the market position, leadership and balance sheets to survive. However, actually finding th...

649 downloads Rules of Investing Jul 08, 2022
49m
The best inflation protection you can get

The best inflation protection you can get

The prophets of doom are blowing their recession horns. Accordingly, investors want to hold assets that can be bulwarks against whatever's driving recession - that being inflation in today's case. And that's what today's edition of The Rules of Inves...

989 downloads Rules of Investing Jun 24, 2022
45m
Oscar Oberg’s bear market guide to oversold small caps

Oscar Oberg’s bear market guide to oversold small caps

Let's face it, it has been hard going in the small caps space - which is down almost 18% this calendar year. 
As soon as you get headwinds such as inflation and rate hikes, babies will invariably get thrown out with the bathwater. Good companies with...

853 downloads Rules of Investing Jun 10, 2022
42m
Why Allan Gray is still bullish energy and cautious on darlings like CSL

Why Allan Gray is still bullish energy and cautious on darlings like CSL

Imagine for a moment that you had a clean sheet of paper from which to build your investment portfolio from the ground up. Would that rebuilt portfolio look the same as what you own today? One could guess that for many people the answer is no, and th...

889 downloads Rules of Investing Jun 03, 2022
25m
Simon Shields: These stocks are turning market headwinds into competitive advantage

Simon Shields: These stocks are turning market headwinds into competitive advantage

We're all well aware of the headwinds battering markets today - inflation, supply chain pressures, and rate hikes. Yet it's easy, and misguided, to broad brush the market and expect all stocks to respond in the same way. As you'll learn in this editi...

717 downloads Rules of Investing Jun 03, 2022
45m
Ben Griffiths: A bull waiting for these three signs to charge at small caps

Ben Griffiths: A bull waiting for these three signs to charge at small caps

Global markets are in a world of hurt. This week the Dow Jones Industrial Average nose-dived 1,100 points - its biggest loss since 2020. For all but those with the greatest of risk appetites, it's time to hunker down and weather the volatility storm....

947 downloads Rules of Investing May 20, 2022
43m
Suggested Stories

Who would have guessed laws required companies to request...

DisinterestedSep 25, 2022
0 mins read

The question of whether abortion should be legal has been...

DanielJun 26, 2022
4 mins read

Four-time major winner Brooks Koepka has also left the PG...

sportislife15Jun 26, 2022
0 mins read

The subsidisation of unreliable “renewable” power is why ...

DisinterestedJun 19, 2022
0 mins read

LIV Golf is off to a good start, whatever the PGA Tour an...

sportislife15Jun 11, 2022
4 mins read

All governments eventually lose power, but the Liberal Pa...

DanielMay 29, 2022
4 mins read