Why Platinum is short US tech stocks and long China

According to Andrew Clifford, CEO and Co-Chief Investment Officer of Platinum Asset Management, there’s one variable that matters more than any other in stock markets. That variable is interest rates.

Interest rates can’t get much lower than current levels, and, until recently, central banks have been pushing rate hike expectations years out into the future. But that narrative has changed abruptly, and market participants are scrambling to dial up the speed and quantum of rate hikes in their forecasts.

In a note sent to Platinum’s investors, Clifford said he sensed a ‘regime change’ was on the cards and that January could be a sneak preview for what lies ahead in 2022.

The significance of this regime change has been well articulated. Low-interest rates have been a powerful tailwind for a long time, especially for the valuations of defensive and growth companies.

Every bull market has two things in common, according to Clifford. Firstly, it has a great story, which is a true story. In the case of the current market, we’ve seen some unique companies emerge in the US tech sector. The second ingredient is easy monetary conditions.

He says that bull markets die with higher interest rates, and then the underlying fundamentals of companies get questioned.

James Marlay recently had the opportunity to sit down with Andrew Clifford to explore his views on the investment backdrop, why he is short US equities and long China and two high-conviction ideas in the Platinum International Fund’s portfolio.

Rules of Investing

Feb 28, 2022 • 33m

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