Inflation Is The One Promise Central Banks Can Deliver – Ep 76

* Markets have been volatile but economic data still looking bad
* Chicago Fed National Activity Index: contrary to expectations, came in at -.42 in addition a downward correction for last week to a 2-year low
* Weekly Redbook Same Store Sales Survey down to lowest annual increase in 4 years with a dramatic rate of decline in recent months
* Implausible excuses, such as the weather or the timing of Easter, attempt to mask the fact that the economy is just weak
* Oil prices moved above $57, forming a sizable W-bottom
* Canadian dollar up about 5%
* Canadian inflation, especially food prices up
* This signals the end of rate-cutting cycle in Canada
* Central banks around the world are going to have to dial back on their cheap money policies
* The “Threat of Deflation” will be in the rear view mirror
* Central banks may like high prices, but consumers don’t
* President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Eric Rosengren stated our 2% inflation goal is “too low”
* He thinks higher inflation allows for more growth, and allows interest rates to remain low
* Cheap money does not create economic growth and doesn’t create employment – it undermines both
* Cheap money applied to a slower economy creates a vicious cycle
* A weakening dollar will put upward pressure on already rising consumer prices
* The Fed is hinting at a higher inflation goal
* The problem is we can’t do anything about our inflation because our debt is out of control
* Fiscally solvent countries are able to raise rates and still service their debt
* All the U.S. can do is “talk tough”
* If they had a “Hall of Economists” in Disneyland, the Keynesians would have to be in Fantasyland
* Paul Krugman’s Keynesian experiment is blowing up the U.S. economy
* Everybody will figure it out before Paul Krugman does

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Peter Schiff

Apr 22, 2015 • 20m

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